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NRI Newsletter - Market News

Last Updated on: 18/09/2025

NRI Newsletter - Market News

TODAY Thursday,18th   September , 2025

 

USD/INR:

The Indian rupee slipped on Wednesday, pressured by a firmer dollar and higher U.S. Treasury yields after the Federal Reserve's widely expected 25 basis points cut left investors parsing mixed signals from its projections and commentary.

The rupee was down 0.3% at 88.0650 against the U.S. dollar, in line with weakness among regional peers and halting a four day streak of gains.The dollar  was up 0.2% at 97.2 against a basket of major currencies even though it had hit a 3-1/2-year low in the immediate aftermath of the Fed's policy announcement.

 

MAJOR WORLD CURRENCIES:

USD:

 

 

Most Asian currencies moved in a tight range on Thursday, while the dollar steadied from mild overnight gains as markets digested a largely in-line interest rate cut and outlook from the U.S. Federal Reserve.

The Japanese yen sat on some gains this week, with focus now turning to the Bank of Japan’s policy meeting, which is set to conclude on Friday. Key Japanese inflation data is also on tap. 

Broader Asian currencies steadied after gaining some ground this week, as growing conviction in lower U.S. interest rates dented the dollar. But the greenback firmed after the Fed’s Wednesday decision and was steady in Asian trade. 

 

 

 

GBP/USD:

Markets remain in a cautiously optimistic mood early Thursday, assessing the US Federal Reserve’s (Fed) prudence on further easing, while gearing for the expected interest rate cut-hold by the Bank of England (BoE) later in the day.

The US Dollar (USD) is building on its post-Fed event recovery, with the US S&P 500 futures up roughly 0.30% so far. The USD Index is bouncing back toward 97.50, as of writing, adding 0.25% on the day.

 

EUR/USD:

The EUR/USD pair holds steady around 1.1815 during the Asian trading hours on Thursday. The US Dollar (USD) trades flat against the Euro (EUR) following its plunge to a three-and-a-half-year low as traders assess the Federal Reserve’s (Fed) rhetoric on further interest rate cuts. Traders await the speech from the European Central Bank (ECB) Christine Lagarde later on Thursday. 

The Fed reduced rates by 25 basis points (bps) at its September meeting on Wednesday, as widely expected, and signaled it will steadily lower borrowing costs for the rest of this year. Fed Chair Jerome Powell outlined the recent policy decision as a risk-management reduction in reaction to the weak labor market but stressed that the US central bank does not need to rush easing.

Powell said that the rate-path views are not commitments, adding that higher inflation is still a risk and the Fed is now in a "meeting-by-meeting situation" when it comes to further rate cuts. Less dovish than expected remarks from Powell could provide some support to the Greenback in the near term. 

 

 

Gold:

Gold (XAU/USD) extends its steady intraday descent through the first half of the European session on Wednesday and slides further below the $3,665 level, hitting a fresh daily low in the last hour. The US Dollar (USD) stages a modest bounce from its lowest level since early July amid some repositioning trade ahead of the pivotal FOMC decision and exerts some pressure on the precious metal. The commodity now seems to have snapped a three-day winning streak to the all-time peak touched on Tuesday, though the downside remains cushioned.

Investors now seem convinced that the US Federal Reserve (Fed) will resume its rate-cutting cycle later today and deliver two more rate cuts by the end of this year amid signs of a softening labor market. This might keep a lid on any further USD gains and offer some support to the non-yielding Gold. Apart from this, geopolitical risks stemming from the intensifying Russia-Ukraine war and conflicts in the Middle East may contribute to limiting losses for the safe-haven precious metal. This, in turn, warrants some caution for the XAU/USD bears.

 

USD/INR as on 17th   September , 2025

Currency

OPEN

HIGH

LOW

CLOSE

USD/INR

87.86

87.90

87.69

87.90

Forward premium (%) as on 17th  September , 2025

Periods

1 Month

3 Month

6 Month

12 Month

Premium

1.68/1.94

1.96/2.06

2.15/2.20

2.36/2.38

 

 

USD/INR Cash/Tom/Spot Levels: (in Paisa)

(Updated as on 18th  September , 2025 @ 09.00am)

 

 Cash/Tom:   0.47/0.48         Cash/Spot:0.40/4.00

 Tom/Spot:   0.30/3.00           Spot/Next: 0.10/1.00

 

Cash Date:    18.09.2025

Tom Date:      19.09.2025

Spot Date:     22.09.2025

Outlook for the day 18th   September: Rupee expected to trade in range of 87.95 to 88.15

MAJOR WORLD CURRENCIES: as on (17thSeptember, 2025)

CURRENCY

OPEN

HIGH

LOW

CLOSE

GBP

1.3646

1.3726

1.3616

1.3625

EUR

1.1866

1.1918

1.1806

1812

AUD

0.6684

0.6706

0.6639

0.665

JPY

146.48

147.05

145.47

146.97

CHF

0.7855

0.7893

0.7827

0.7886

XAU

 

3707.40

3644.39

3659.6714

 

Foreign Currencies

Updated:17:30 hrs.(12:00 GMT) on 17th  September 2025

USD/INR: 87.82 [FXIR]

Against

USD

INR

1 GBP    =

1.3644

119.8216

1 EUR   =

1.1837

103.9525

100 JPY =

146.27

60.0397

1 CHF   =

0.7868

111.6167

1 AUD    =

0.6670

58.5759

 

Precious Metals

Updated:17:30 hrs.(12:00 GMT) as on 17th September 2025

Gold ($/oz)

3681

Silver ($/oz)

41.2650

 

Stock Indices

 

Index Close

  16th Sep

17th Sep

BSE Sensex

81904.70

82693.71

NSE Nifty

25114

25114

Dow Jones

45757.90

46018.32

NASDAQ

22333.96

22261.33

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

Major Economic Data Releases for the Day 18.09.2025

Date

Time (IST)

Region

Description

18.09.2025

4.15 am

NZD

GDP q/q

 

7.00 am

AUD


Employment Change

 

 

 

AUD

Unemployment Rate

 

4.30 pm

GBP

Monetary Policy Summary

 

 

 

MPC Official Bank Rate Votes

 

 

 


Official Bank Rate

 

 

6.00 pm

USD

Unemployment Claims

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

The views contained herein are those of individuals and not necessarily those of the Bank.  This is for information purpose only and no recommendations are intended.  While due care has been taken in preparation of this communication, IOB cannot be held responsible for any consequences of any decisions based on this information. Comments/Suggestions may be freely emailed to feddeal@iobnet.co.in